|
Evaluation
of Boulder County Questionnaire
Report
Date: June 30, 1999
Report Author: Kevin David Vryan
Indiana University
Department of Sociology
Ballantine Hall 744
Bloomington, IN 47405-6628
(812) 855-2833
kdv@indiana.edu
Please
direct inquiries regarding this report to the author via the contact
information provided above.
I. INTRODUCTION
I have produced this report
as a sociologist and independent consultant on behalf of the Land Use
Coalition of Boulder, Colorado. I am trained and experienced in the
conduct of survey research, including polling regarding community and
political issues. I am currently employed as a survey researcher in
the full-time position as Project Manager for Survey Research at the
Center for Survey Research (CSR) at Indiana University in Bloomington,
Indiana. I am submitting this report as an independent consultant, and
not on behalf of the Center for Survey Research or Indiana University,
or in my capacity as a CSR Project Manager.
This report provides an analysis
of the survey instrument entitled "Boulder County Questionnaire"
as provided to me by the Land Use Coalition.
In section II.: "Item-by-Item
Analysis," each item of the questionnaire is provided in its entirety,
followed by an analysis of that item. I have omitted the brief introductory
statement read by the interviewer prior to the substantive portion of
the interview, and the statement at the end of the interview that the
interviewer signs certifying that they completely and accurately coded
the responses. The item numbers used in this report are those used in
the original survey instrument. Within the "TEXT" of questions,
any comments within brackets and italicized are instructions to the
interviewer and were not to be read to the respondent by the interviewer.
The analysis that follows each item is numbered such that individual
points are identified by lower-case letter ("a," "b,"
etc.).
In section III.: "Summary
and Conclusions," general comments regarding survey research and
the reliability and validity of the survey instrument evaluated in this
report are provided.
I understand that there are
community and political issues in Boulder, Colorado, related to the
recent use of this survey instrument as commissioned by Boulder County.
I do not support any particular political position and I have formed
no opinion regarding these matters. My purpose here is solely to evaluate
the survey research instrument discussed herein and comment briefly
on the implications of this evaluation.
II. ITEM-BY-ITEM ANALYSIS
Item 1.
TEXT: First of all, would you
say things in Boulder County are generally going in the right direction
or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off track in the
past few years?
-
Right direction
-
Off track
-
No response
ANALYSIS:
-
This question is poorly
formed in that it asks the respondent to choose between a somewhat
mild positive statement (as indicated in the use of the word "generally")
and a relatively more severe statement (as indicated in the use
of the word "seriously").
-
The first option (right
direction) is asked in the context of what a respondent would "say,"
while the second option (off track) is presented in the context
of an emotional response ("
do you feel
").
This indicates a bias in the sense that the respondent is asked
to compare a relatively benign thought against a feeling, and a
feeling is likely to elicit a stronger response, thus introducing
bias to this question. To eliminate this problem and offer a more
balanced presentation of the choices, wording such as the following
would be used: "In general, would you say (or do you feel)
that things in Boulder County are going in the right direction or
are off track in the past few years?"
-
To make the choices that
the respondent is given comparable, the same wording should be used
in both responses. In particular, the phrase "off track"
is a loaded phrase with clearly negative connotations, particularly
in comparison to things going "generally" in the right
direction. To make the choices comparable and unbiased, the choice
"right direction" should be compared to the choice "wrong
direction." A better wording would thus be: "In general,
would you say (or do you feel) that things in Boulder County are
going in the right direction or the wrong direction in the past
few years?"
-
There are only two response
categories to a question that should provide more options to the
respondent. The respondent is forced to choose between things going
generally well, and things being "seriously" off track.
More appropriate response categories to this question would be:
"very much in the right direction," "somewhat in
the right direction," "somewhat in the wrong direction,"
and "very much in the wrong direction" (with response
categories for "dont know" and "refuse to answer"
also available to the interviewer). The use of "very"
and "somewhat" options is fairly standard in academic
research.
-
Thus, a more sound wording
of this question would be:
"In general, would you say (or do you feel) that things in
Boulder County are going in the right direction or the wrong direction
in the past few years?
Would you say:
-
very much in the right
direction
-
somewhat in the right
direction
-
somewhat in the wrong
direction, or
-
very much in the wrong
direction"
Item 2.
TEXT: In general, what do you
consider to be the one most important issue facing Boulder County today?
[(Open end. Probe.)]
ANALYSIS:
-
This is a well-formed question,
as long as the interviewer is trained and monitored to avoid directing
the respondent while probing for a response.
Item 3.
TEXT: And what would be the
next most important issue facing Boulder County today? [(Open
end. Probe.)]
ANALYSIS:
-
This is also a well-formed
question, given that interviewers do not direct responses during
probing.
Item 4.
TEXT: Generally speaking, do
you think that Boulder County government officials should be doing more
to manage growth, or do you think that they should be doing less
to manage growth, or do you think their present level of activity is
about right?
-
More
-
Less
-
About right
-
No response
ANALYSIS:
-
This question is generally
a good question, although additional response categories would yield
more detailed data. Thus, "much more," "a little
more," about the same," "a little less," and
"much less" would offer respondents more choices and would
likely yield a better indication of public opinion. The use of response
options such as "much more" and "a little more"
(or "somewhat more") is fairly standard in survey research.
Item 5.
TEXT: Now I will ask you several
other questions having to do specifically with the mountainous areas
of Boulder County.
Do you think that Boulder County
government officials should be doing more to manage growth in
the mountains, or do you think that they should be doing less
to manage growth in the mountains, or do you think their present level
of activity is about right?
-
More
-
Less
-
About right
-
No response
ANALYSIS:
-
As with Item 4, this question
is generally a good question, although additional response categories
would yield more detailed data. Thus, "much more," "a
little more," about the same," "a little less,"
and "much less" would offer respondents more choices and
would likely yield a better indication of public opinion.
Items 6 through 11.
TEXT: People sometimes agree
or disagree on what the objectives of Boulder County government
growth policies in the mountains should be. I will read you a list of
some of those possible objectives, and ask you to tell me how you feel
about each of them. Do you agree or disagree with using
the following growth management objectives? [(Rotate questions 6
through 11. Repeat the Introductory statement as necessary.)]
6. To reduce impacts
on wildlife.
-
Agree
-
Disagree
-
No Response
7. To limit the visual
impact on ridge lines or mountain backdrops.
-
Agree
-
Disagree
-
No Response
8. To create diversity
in the size of new houses.
-
Agree
-
Disagree
-
No Response
9. To keep development
away from wetlands, flood plains and other areas near streams.
-
Agree
-
Disagree
-
No Response
10. To limit development
on steep slopes.
-
Agree
-
Disagree
-
No Response
11. To limit mountain
scarring caused by constructing roads to new houses.
-
Agree
-
Disagree
-
No Response
ANALYSIS:
-
The introductory paragraph
is well-formed.
-
The possible objectives
asked about are well-constructed, with the exception of item 11.
The word "scarring" in item 11 is value-laden (in a clearly
negative way) and therefore introduces bias to the question. It
is unlikely that most people would agree with any statement that
asked them to support "scarring," but the definition of
a particular impact as a "scar" is purely subjective and
variable. If two people were looking at the same view, one might
define it as a scar, and the other might not. As examples of more
value-neutral wordings for this item, it could have been worded:
"To limit the impact caused by constructing roads to new houses,"
or "To limit the visual impact caused by constructing roads
to new houses."
-
Regarding item 11, there
is no clarification that the respondent is being asked to comment
on temporary effects to the environment versus longer-lasting effects.
Some respondents may answer the question with a construction zone
in mind that they would expect would be temporary, while other respondents
may answer the question thinking only of permanent or long-lasting
effects. This ambiguity leads to threats to both reliability and
validity.
-
The intention behind rotating
questions 6 through 11 was likely to minimize bias in the form of
"contamination" of an item by a previous one, at least
in any consistent manner. However, due to the value-laden term "scarring"
used in item 11, bias may have been introduced to any items that
followed it. Given the existing wording of items 6 through 11, leaving
item 11 as the last item would have minimized contamination of the
items that followed.
-
Adding the word "generally"
before the options of "agree" or "disagree"
in the introductory paragraph would have helped respondents choose
between only two possible answers. Additional response options would
have made it even easier for respondents to answer this series of
questions, and is routinely done in survey research. Thus, "strongly
agree," "somewhat agree," "somewhat disagree,"
and "strongly disagree" would have yielded data more informative
of the populations views.
Item 12.
TEXT: Do you think Boulder
County should spend additional money to purchase open space even if
it means a tax increase?
-
Yes
-
No
-
Dont know/NR
ANALYSIS:
-
A less biased form of this
question would be: "Generally, do you think Boulder County
should spend less or more money to purchase open space even if it
means a tax increase?" (with response options being "more,"
or "less," dont know, or refuse to answer). As it
is worded now, there is an increased likelihood that respondents
may answer in the affirmative compared to the alternative wording
I proposed.
-
The word "even"
is unnecessary and leads the respondent to disapprove of what follows
it. In survey research, the respondent should never be directed
toward any particular position or response.
Item 13.
TEXT: Boulder Countys
current one-forth of a cent open space sales tax expires in December
2008. If you knew that Boulder County could continue buying more open
space if the tax were extended at its current rate for 10 years, would
you generally support or oppose a 10 year extension of
the current tax?
-
Support
-
Oppose
-
Dont know/NR
ANALYSIS:
a. This is a well-formed question.
Additional response categories would offer more flexibility in response
and richer data ("strongly support," "somewhat support,"
"somewhat oppose," "strongly oppose").
Item 14.
TEXT: What about extending
the current open space sales tax, which would expire in 2008, for another
10 years, and issuing bonds to allow open space purchases much
sooner than otherwise would be the case? Would you generally support
or oppose such a proposal?
-
Support
-
Oppose
-
Dont know/NR
ANALYSIS:
a. This is a well-formed question.
Additional response categories would offer more flexibility in response
and richer data ("strongly support," "somewhat support,"
"somewhat oppose," "strongly oppose").
Items 15 through 20.
TEXT: A few minutes ago I asked
a short series of questions about some things that Boulder County government
could do to achieve particular land use objectives. Now I will
ask you some similar questions, except they will be asked from the viewpoint
of landowners rights as you see them. Please tell me if you feel
that a landowner should or should not be able to build
a house where they want even if the site selected resulted in the following
outcomes:
15. The house would
be located in significant wildlife habitat.
1. Should be able
2. Should not be able
3. Other
4. No response
16. The house would
be located on a ridge line or would impact a mountain backdrop.
1. Should be able
2. Should not be able
3. Other
4. No response
17. People in the neighborhood
believe that the size or appearance of the house would not be compatible
with nearby houses.
1. Should be able
2. Should not be able
3. Other
4. No response
18. The access road
to the house would create a significant new scar across a mountainside.
1. Should be able
2. Should not be able
3. Other
4. No response
19. The house location
creates a new wildfire hazard.
1. Should be able
2. Should not be able
3. Other
4. No response
20. People in the neighborhood
are concerned about the impact of the new house on their own property
or their own view.
1. Should be able
2. Should not be able
3. Other
4. No response
ANALYSIS (items 15 through
20):
-
The introductory paragraph
asks respondents to answer questions 15 through 20 "
from
the viewpoint of landowners rights
" This is a clear
introduction of bias in all of the following questions. The respondent
could have been asked to give their (own) opinions, but were rather
prompted by the interviewer to answer the questions from a particular
point of view, which may or may not have been their own. Therefore,
the data from these items about land use objectives (items 15 through
20) are not valid if the intention is to determine the respondents
opinions. It cannot be known if respondents gave answers that they
thought landowners would give, or their own.
-
The introductory paragraph
also introduces bias in the use of the word "even" in
the last sentence of the introduction, which the interviewer was
instructed to repeat to the respondent as necessary throughout this
series of questions. This word is not at all necessary to communicate
the meaning of the sentence, and it implies that the following statements
are all "bad" things. This would have the effect of directing
the respondent to disapprove of whatever follows.
-
Items 15 and 18 use the
highly subjective and seemingly unnecessary term "significant,"
thus introducing (or enhancing) bias in the questions. When such
a term is used, it must be defined for the respondent so that, in
effect, the same question is being asked of all respondents regardless
of their variable interpretations.
-
Item 18 uses the highly
value-laden term "scar." As with item 11, this is likely
to lead respondents to a disapproving attitude, even if they might
not define a specific effect as a scar without prompting.
Item 21.
TEXT: The US Bureau of Land
Management, sometimes called BLM, currently is proposing to dispose
of roughly 2,000 acres of land in the mountains between Boulder and
the Peak-to-Peak Highway. Some people would like to see BLM make the
land available for new development purposes. Others would like Boulder
County to acquire the land from BLM so that new development does not
occur.
21. Would you prefer
that the BLM make the 2,000 acres available for development,
or would you prefer that Boulder County acquire it so that development
does not occur?
-
Open to development
-
Boulder County acquire
-
No response
ANALYSIS:
-
This is generally a well-formed
question, although it might have been appropriate to add an "other"
response option in the event that other alternatives were available
in the opinions of respondents.
Item 22 (asked only in mountain
precincts).
TEXT: Some mountain residents
believe that we should do more to limit the number of new houses
built in the mountains. Others believe that it is not county governments
place to set such limits. Which most closely represents your views?
[(Repeat question if necessary)]
-
Do more to limit
-
Not countys place
-
Other
-
No response
ANALYSIS:
-
The use of the word "we"
is unclear. Some respondents may interpret that word as referring
to them as mountain residents or citizens, while others may interpret
that word as referring to "county government" (which could
also be more clearly defined). Thus, this questions suffers from
a lack of validity. Further, if a respondent asks for the question
to be reread by the interviewer, he or she may interpret the question
differently the second time it is heard (after interpreting the
"we" from the first sentence in the context of the second
sentence), thus threatening reliability.
-
The phrase "not county
governments place" is unnecessarily biased. I see no
reason that a more balanced choice shouldnt be offered to
respondents. An example of more appropriate wording would be (assuming
that the "we" is supposed to refer to county government):
"Some mountain residents believe that county government should
do more to limit the number of new houses built in the mountains,
while others believe that county government should do less to limit
the number of new houses built in the mountains. Others believe
that county government should continue doing what they are now"
(with response options such as "more," "less,"
"the same," dont know, and refuse to answer).
Item 23 (asked only in mountain
precincts).
TEXT: One idea to reduce the
number of new houses built in the mountains is creation of a local improvement
district in the mountains to purchase some of the potential building
sites and leave them undeveloped. A special property tax within the
district would provide much of the necessary funding. Using a $200,000
home as an example of how it could work, about 200 undeveloped lots
could be purchased if $50 in special property taxes were collected by
the special district each year for 15 years, with Boulder County supplying
some funds to supplement the improvement districts contribution.
23. If there was a question
on next Novembers ballot to create a mountain local improvement
district to levy property taxes to purchase undeveloped lots as just
described, do you feel that you would support or oppose
such a measure if the tax on a $200,000 house would be $50 per year
for 15 years?
-
Support
-
Oppose
-
No response
[(If response to q. 23 was
other than "support," SKIP to q. 27)]
ANALYSIS:
-
I expect that item 23 should
only be asked of respondents who feel that the number of new houses
built in the mountains should be reduced. If respondents do not
feel that the number of new houses built in the mountains should
be reduced, this question seems irrelevant to them, as they would
not be likely to support a tax to achieve an end they disapprove
of.
-
This question asks for
an opinion on a possible ballot issue after attempting to describe
how a proposed mountain local improvement district might work, and
what impact it would have. However, this issue does not seem to
me to be presented in a complete and impartial way. The question
seems to be intended to elicit a favorable response, rather than
a value-neutral probe of respondents assessments of legislation
that I imagine would have various implications and impacts not presented.
If the issue is not familiar enough to a respondent that they have
an opinion on the matter without a detailed explanation of the issue,
the answer should be "dont know" after a brief question
as to whether the respondent would vote for or against the ballot
item. Alternatively, the issue could be presented in a more balanced
way, indicating what supporters say (with text approved by supporters)
and what opponents say (with text approved by opponents).
-
It is unclear to me why
this question is asked only of respondents in mountain precincts,
although I imagine that the questionnaire authors had some purpose
in mind. As the introductory paragraph explains, Boulder County
tax funds (apparently collected from taxpayers not living in the
mountains as well as from those living in mountain precincts) would
be provided for the proposed improvement district. As this question
is not asked of all taxpayers or voters, I assume that its intention
is not to assess public opinion of all affected parties on the proposed
legislation. If this question is to affect policymaking, I would
expect that all relevant parties would be polled.
Item 24 (asked only in mountain
precincts).
TEXT: Still using a $200,000
house as an example, do you feel that you would support or oppose
such a measure if the special property tax would be $100 per year and
about 400 undeveloped lots would purchased [sic]?
-
Support
-
Oppose
-
No response
[(If response to q. 24 was
other than "support," SKIP to q. 27)]
ANALYSIS:
-
As with item 23, it seems
that item 24 should only be asked of respondents who feel that the
number of new houses built in the mountains should be reduced.
-
As with item 23, the issue
does not seem to be presented in a complete way. Either the respondent
already knows about this option and has an opinion, or he or she
is being offered a limited presentation of an issue that is in actuality
likely to be very complicated and with differing points of view,
and then is asked to offer an opinion based on this limited presentation.
-
I am not privy at this
time to the intentions of those who constructed or commissioned
these questions (items 24 through 26), and it is unclear to me what
the intention of these follow-up questions are. I note that they
are asked only of those who indicated that they supported the proposition
as presented in item 23. It seems to me that questions 24, 25, and
26 are designed to assess either how much of a property tax increase
supporters will tolerate before withdrawing support, or how much
undeveloped land they desire the proposed local improvement district
to acquire. Either way, it could not be known from the data what
is actually being measured, and thus the data from these questions
suffer from threats to validity.
Item 25 (asked only in mountain
precincts).
TEXT: What if the special property
tax would be $150 per year and about 600 undeveloped lots would be purchased?
-
Support
-
Oppose
-
No response
[(If response to q. 25 was
other than "support," SKIP to q. 27)]
ANALYSIS:
-
See comments regarding
item 24.
Item 26 (asked only in mountain
precincts).
TEXT: What if the special property
tax would be $200 per year and about 800 undeveloped lots would be purchased?
-
Support
-
Oppose
-
No response
ANALYSIS:
-
See comments regarding
item 24.
-
I note that this series
of questions (items 23 through 26) seems to attempt to assess mountain
precinct residents positions regarding a single potential
ballot issue. This may have been the sole intention of those who
designed and commissioned this study, and this singular inquiry
may provide all the information desired by them. It is not unheard
of to conduct very brief surveys that only ask about one aspect
of an issue, but as this survey was commissioned by a government
entity and not a special interest group, I would have expected that
various options to dealing with this issue would have been presented
and asked about in order to determine the publics policy preferences.
At the very least, I would think that policymakers would be interested
in an open-ended question asking respondents about what they would
like to occur in relation to this issue.
Item 27.
TEXT: How long have you lived
in Boulder County?
[(Read brackets if necessary)]
-
Less than 1 year
-
1 to 4 years
-
5 to 9 years
-
10 to 19 years
-
20 years or more
-
No response
ANALYSIS:
-
This is a fairly standard
question and is fine as it is. I assume that interviewers are trained
as to how to deal with responses that indicate discontinuous residence
(such as someone who lived in Boulder for 3 years in the 1980s,
and then moved back into Boulder last year).
Item 28.
TEXT: How old are you?
[(Read brackets if necessary)]
-
18 to 24
-
25 to 34
-
35 to 44
-
45 to 54
-
55 to 64
-
65 or older
-
Refused/no response
ANALYSIS:
-
Age is also a standard
question, although asking date of birth is usually the preferred
method as it allows for calculation of the exact age of respondents
at any point in time, not just at the time of the survey. However,
if this is a one-time poll and specific ages and averages are not
important, these response categories would work.
Item 29.
TEXT: Do you own your
home or do you rent it?
-
Own
-
Rent
-
No response
ANALYSIS:
-
The response options in
this item are poorly constructed. They are not exhaustive, in other
words, they do not account for all possible responses (for example,
living with family at no cost).
-
The use of the word "home"
may imply to some respondents a house, as opposed to an apartment.
The word "residence" or the phrase "where you live
now" (in a slightly modified question form) would minimize
this implication. Further, the use of the word "your"
may imply to some respondents that they are expected to be the primary
occupant (this may be an issue if the respondent is living in what
they consider to be primarily someone elses residence). To
avoid these potential problems, wording could be offered such as:
"Where you live now [or, alternatively, "Where you have
lived for more than six months in the past year), do you rent or
own?" (with the interviewer having an option for "other"
responses that the respondent may volunteer).
-
Note that if this poll
was conducted during the Summer in a college town, the answers might
be very different than during the school year. It is unclear as
to how a student who normally lives elsewhere might answer this
question in the absence of a response category or clarification
to account for such possibilities. Further, there is no question
confirming that the respondent lives the majority of the year at
the residence in Boulder County (or in the mountains). Thus, if
the questionnaire was administered during the Summer, there is no
way to distinguish Summer residents from year-round residents. These
matters threaten the reliability of the measure.
Item 30.
TEXT: How much formal education
have you completed?
-
High school or equivalent
-
College degree
-
Graduate studies
-
Other___________
-
No response
ANALYSIS:
-
It is unclear to me why
these response categories were used, but I assume that educational
attainment is not an important variable in this project. Normally,
more complete response options are used. For example, I note that
less than high school or equivalent is not specifically coded for
(for example, "elementary school graduate," "some
high school (no degree)"), and that there is no distinction
made between those who have attained a Ph.D. and those who have
taken one graduate class for no credit without being admitted to
a graduate program. There are standard and widely used response
options for educational attainment that would normally be used,
such as those used by the U.S. Census.
NOTE TO INTERVIEWER:
[(Thank respondent and then
complete questions 31 through 35 from your calling sheet information.
Double check to make certain that you got all of them.)]
Item 31.
TEXT: Sex:
-
Male
-
Female
ANALYSIS:
-
This is a pretty standard
item, although at the Center for Survey Research, we have a note
to the interviewer to ask this if necessary, as is occasionally,
albeit rarely, the case. In this study, the interviewer has already
hung up the phone before coding this item.
Item 32.
TEXT: Party affiliation:
-
Republican
-
Democrat
-
Independent/Unaffiliated
ANALYSIS:
-
Since the interviewer has
already hung up the phone, I assume that this information is taken
from official voting registration records. While this is informative
of the affiliation a respondent claimed the last time they registered
to vote, it most definitely does not represent the way they see
themselves at the time of the interview. It may not even represent
how they saw themselves at the time they registered. For example,
many people register an affiliation with a political party just
so that they can vote in a primary election. While I would not eliminate
this question, if party identification was important at all (which
I assume it is, since this question was included), I would certainly
add another question that was asked of the respondent while he or
she was still on the phone about current party identification.
Item 33.
TEXT: Precinct Number: ___________
ANALYSIS:
-
A respondent may be living
in a precinct other than the one on record, or may live more than
half the year in another precinct. For example, a student may live
elsewhere, but be answering this survey while staying at their parents
house for the Summer, or this may be a Summer or vacation residence.
Also, a respondent may have recently moved. There is no item in
this instrument to confirm current or primary address (and therefore
precinct of primary residence).
Item 34.
TEXT: City Code (Circle "00"
if there is no code)
ANALYSIS;
-
See comment regarding item
33.
-
Note that I have omitted
the response categories for this item in my copy of the text. They
consist of a series of numbers only.
Item 35.
TEXT: Calling sheet number:
______________
ANALYSIS:
-
This is apparently a coding
not relevant to my analysis.
III. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
Survey research (or polling)
is susceptible to error and bias, as is any research method. Great care
must be taken in the construction of questions and responses presented
to respondents, and in the way that the questions are asked by interviewers,
in order that data accurately represent the population being studied
and yield the information desired. Survey researchers have developed
many techniques to ensure these goals, and are continually improving
upon these techniques as well as developing new ones. The promise that
quality survey research holds for informing us of the state of our social
world is great, and the information gathered can lead to significant
improvements in the ability of citizens and public policymakers to determine
needed change (or constancy) and develop more informed courses of action.
Unfortunately, survey research can also be done poorly, leading to misinformed
courses of action. While I have no interest in affecting any particular
political course of action in relation to the issues that the Boulder
County Questionnaire is intended to inform, as a professional researcher,
I do have an interest in ensuring that survey research is done properly
and used appropriately. My evaluation of the Boulder County Questionnaire
leads me to conclude that the instrument as I understand that it was
recently administered to Boulder County residents suffers from some
serious threats to reliability and validity, and possesses unnecessary
biases that would taint any findings. It concerns me that data yielded
from this poll may be used to determine public policy or affect public
opinion.
Reliability is the term that
survey researchers use to refer to our confidence that the same information
would be collected in repeated observations of the same eventfor
example, in the repeated administration of the same question. There
are always threats to reliability in survey research, such as those
introduced by the effects of context, including the salience of community
issues at the time of the interview, and the time of year. This needs
to be taken into account whenever interpreting survey data. Further,
I have noted some specific threats to reliability that are embodied
in the Boulder County Questionnaire. It is also the case that the questions
that the interviewer repeats, as well as the words stressed by the interviewer
(which are unknown to me as I did not supervise or monitor administration
of this poll) may seriously affect the reliability of the data gathered.
While I am able to note some inherent threats to reliability in this
questionnaire, only the entity that conducted the poll could have ensured
the elimination of other possible threats that may be introduced by
interviewers. Having no familiarity whatsoever with the organization
contracted by Boulder County to administer this questionnaire, or with
the manner in which they train and monitor their interviewers, I have
no specific reason to believe that the poll was conducted in any way
that would introduce additional threats to reliability. However, given
that the design of the questionnaire and question construction is not
of the highest standards possible (as evidenced in comments in Section
II of this report), I would hope that those who commissioned this poll,
and those who would seek to interpret its findings, would take steps
to ensure that reliability was ensured during administration of this
questionnaire.
Validity is the term that survey
researchers use to refer to the degree that a measure (such as a survey
question) accurately reflects the concept that it is intended to measure.
In my professional opinion, the Boulder County Questionnaire suffers
from some serious threats to validity, as noted throughout my item-by-item
analysis. I imagine that those who commissioned this study wanted an
accurate picture of the views of Boulder County residents on important
community issues, but the data may end up reflecting what some biased
wording led respondents to say as much or more than what people actually
believe and feel. There is no way to eliminate these threats to validity
from the data already collected. The only way to ensure valid data would
be to modify the questionnaire and conduct another poll using the highest
of professional standards.
While survey research done
properly is a very valuable tool, when it is done poorly it can be a
dangerous thing, leading us to draw conclusions based on fiction veiled
as "scientific" fact. Science can be used for the common good,
and it can be misused to achieve political or ideological ends. The
misuse of polling and "statistics" (as poll results are often
called) has led to public skepticism regarding the value of survey research.
The possible misuses of the data collected via the Boulder County Questionnaire
are far too numerous for me to detail here. While I am a professional
survey researcher myself and believe in the promise of polling, I would
have to count myself as among those who are appropriately skeptical
of any data resulting from the Boulder County Questionnaire in its current
form.
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